India Becomes World’s Most Populous Nation – UNFPA SoWP 2025

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  • GS Paper I: Population & Society

Key Findings of UNFPA “State of the World Population 2025”

  • India’s Population: Estimated at 146.39 crore (1.4639 billion) by April 2025.
  • Surpasses China: China’s population stands at 141.61 crore, marking a demographic shift.
  • TFR (Total Fertility Rate): Declined to 1.9, below the replacement level of 2.1.
    • Replacement level ensures population replacement without migration.
    • Indicates that India has reached the population stabilization phase.

Government of India’s Estimates

  • Technical Expert Committee (2019): Projected 141.1 crore for 2025.
  • Sample Registration System (SRS) 2021: TFR = 2.0 → validates India has attained replacement-level fertility.

The Real Fertility Crisis – UNFPA’s Key Argument

  • Not overpopulation or underpopulation, but the inability of people to realize their fertility choices.
  • Urges focus on reproductive agency—free, informed choices on sex, contraception, and childbearing.
  • Calls for a rights-based approach, avoiding coercive or alarmist population control policies.
  • Aligns with SDG 3 (Good Health & Well-being) and SDG 5 (Gender Equality).

Demographic Composition (2025 Estimates)

  • Youth:
    • 0–14 years → 24%
    • 10–19 years → 17%
    • 10–24 years → 26%
  • Working-age (15–64 years): 68%demographic dividend window still open.
  • Elderly (65+ years): 7%, expected to rise with higher life expectancy.
    • Life Expectancy: 71 years (men), 74 years (women).

 Data Sources Used

  • DHS, MICS, UN Population Prospects (2024), UN DESA family planning models.
  • Data used for development planning, policy design, and global benchmarking.

About UNFPA

  • Founded: 1968 | HQ: New York
  • Mission: “Delivering a world where every pregnancy is wanted, every childbirth is safe, and every young person’s potential is fulfilled.”
  • Works in three major areas:
    1. Reproductive health (e.g., family planning, STDs)
    2. Population strategies for sustainable development
    3. Women’s empowerment, particularly education and gender equity
  • Offers technical and financial support for censuses, surveys, and reproductive health initiatives.
  • Programs run only on government request.

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