India Becomes World’s Most Populous Nation – UNFPA SoWP 2025
Relevance
- GS Paper I: Population & Society
Key Findings of UNFPA “State of the World Population 2025”
- India’s Population: Estimated at 146.39 crore (1.4639 billion) by April 2025.
- Surpasses China: China’s population stands at 141.61 crore, marking a demographic shift.
- TFR (Total Fertility Rate): Declined to 1.9, below the replacement level of 2.1.
- Replacement level ensures population replacement without migration.
- Indicates that India has reached the population stabilization phase.
Government of India’s Estimates
- Technical Expert Committee (2019): Projected 141.1 crore for 2025.
- Sample Registration System (SRS) 2021: TFR = 2.0 → validates India has attained replacement-level fertility.
The Real Fertility Crisis – UNFPA’s Key Argument
- Not overpopulation or underpopulation, but the inability of people to realize their fertility choices.
- Urges focus on reproductive agency—free, informed choices on sex, contraception, and childbearing.
- Calls for a rights-based approach, avoiding coercive or alarmist population control policies.
- Aligns with SDG 3 (Good Health & Well-being) and SDG 5 (Gender Equality).
Demographic Composition (2025 Estimates)
- Youth:
- 0–14 years → 24%
- 10–19 years → 17%
- 10–24 years → 26%
- Working-age (15–64 years): 68% → demographic dividend window still open.
- Elderly (65+ years): 7%, expected to rise with higher life expectancy.
- Life Expectancy: 71 years (men), 74 years (women).
Data Sources Used
- DHS, MICS, UN Population Prospects (2024), UN DESA family planning models.
- Data used for development planning, policy design, and global benchmarking.
About UNFPA
- Founded: 1968 | HQ: New York
- Mission: “Delivering a world where every pregnancy is wanted, every childbirth is safe, and every young person’s potential is fulfilled.”
- Works in three major areas:
- Reproductive health (e.g., family planning, STDs)
- Population strategies for sustainable development
- Women’s empowerment, particularly education and gender equity
- Offers technical and financial support for censuses, surveys, and reproductive health initiatives.
- Programs run only on government request.